Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rebels @ Terrapins UNLV @ MD

UNLV

REBELSUNLV

3-2  |  Road

67
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 11:59 PM ET
MGM Grand Garden Arena
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND

TERRAPINSMD

4-1  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
100%
📊
TERRAPINS
0%
REBELS --
TERRAPINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Maryland)
RebelsUNLV (-3.5) 0 TerrapinsMD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rebels Cover

13.6%

Terrapins Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MD -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)

UNLV By 1-7 points

9.3%

UNLV By 8-14 points

2.7%

MD By 1-7 points

21.6%

MD By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
55
UNLV
66
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
63
UNLV
72
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terrapins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terrapins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terrapins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Terrapins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 UNLV @ MD 67 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.1%
Maryland: 80.3% vs UNLV: 71.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.9%
Maryland: 36.1% vs UNLV: 27.2%
Blocks (L5) +55.8% more
UNLV: 4.7 vs Maryland: 2.1
Assists (L5) +35.5% more
UNLV: 17.2 vs Maryland: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNLV Score 55.0 67
MD Score 66.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 27.2 29.0 / 30.0
Assists 11.1 / 17.2 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.7 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 47.3 42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 80.3 / 71.2 71.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 43.5 46.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.1 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 12.2 20.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNLV Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
MD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNLV Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
MD
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNLV
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +3.3
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
UNLV
MD
UNLV
ML
70% 23-10
50% 17-17
67% 22-11
59% 20-14
ATS
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
67% 22-11
59% 20-14
TTL
64% 21-12
62% 21-13
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 7 hours ago
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
UCLA's Dominant Road Win Over Maryland: Four Interceptions and E…
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
UCLA Bruins Dominate Maryland 54-3, Improve to 4-0 Under Bob Che…
si 1 week, 5 days ago