VMI
KEYDETSVMI
3-5 | Road
70
BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
6-0 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
100%
BULLS
0%
KEYDETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
VMI By 1-7 points
24.3%
VMI By 8-14 points
13.7%
BUF By 1-7 points
26.2%
BUF By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
69
VMI
Buffalo
70
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
VMI
65
VMI
Buffalo
78
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
VMI @ BUF
70 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.2% more
Buffalo: 8.6
vs
VMI: 6.9
Assists (L5)
+17.0% more
Buffalo: 13.2
vs
VMI: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Buffalo: 77.4%
vs
VMI: 68.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Buffalo: 47.3%
vs
VMI: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
69.0
70
BUF Score
70.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 32.5
38.0 / 24.0
Assists
13.2 / 11.3
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 42.5
46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 68.0
76.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 33.3
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.6 / 6.9
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.8
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
BUF
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
BUF
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
VMI
BUF
VMI
ML
45%
14-17
53%
17-15
45%
14-17
84%
27-5
ATS
55%
17-14
50%
16-16
45%
14-17
84%
27-5
TTL
48%
15-16
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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