Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Cardinals EMU @ LOU

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

3-2  |  Road

46
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 7:00 PM ET
KFC Yum! Center
View Odds Details →

LOUISVILLE

CARDINALSLOU

5-0  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
EAGLES --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Louisville)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

38.2%

Cardinals Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LOU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)

EMU By 1-7 points

21.6%

EMU By 8-14 points

10.7%

LOU By 1-7 points

27.2%

LOU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
75
EASTERN MICHIGAN
78
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
62
EASTERN MICHIGAN
78
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 EMU @ LOU 46 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +62.3% more
Louisville: 9.6 vs Eastern Michigan: 5.9
Rebounding (L5) +13.2% more
Louisville: 41.3 vs Eastern Michigan: 36.5
Blocks (L5) +9.3% more
Louisville: 3.2 vs Eastern Michigan: 2.9
Turnovers (L5) +9.5% more
Eastern Michigan: 12.3 vs Louisville: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 75.0 46
LOU Score 78.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 37.1 42.0 / 13.0
Assists 17.8 / 16.6 18.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.9 10.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 50.0 48.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 77.3 / 75.9 68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 41.3 / 36.5 45.0 / 36.0
Steals 9.6 / 5.9 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.3 8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
LOU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
LOU
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
EMU
LOU
EMU
ML
63% 22-13
65% 20-11
71% 24-10
70% 21-9
ATS
71% 25-10
65% 20-11
71% 24-10
70% 21-9
TTL
63% 22-13
71% 22-9
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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