Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Wolfpack HALL @ NCSU

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

5-0  |  Road

85
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 2:30 PM ET
Lahaina Civic Center
View Odds Details →

NC STATE

WOLFPACKNCSU

4-0  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
WOLFPACK
0%
PIRATES --
WOLFPACK --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (NC State)
PiratesHALL (-3.5) 0 WolfpackNCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

2.9%

Wolfpack Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCSU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)

HALL By 1-7 points

2.2%

HALL By 8-14 points

0.4%

NCSU By 1-7 points

9.3%

NCSU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
55
SETON HALL
74
NC STATE
Simulated Score
68
SETON HALL
72
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolfpack Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolfpack Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolfpack (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Wolfpack (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 HALL @ NCSU 85 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +22.7% more
NC State: 11.6 vs Seton Hall: 9.4
Assists (L5) +13.3% more
NC State: 15.8 vs Seton Hall: 13.9
Rebounding (L5) +11.3% more
NC State: 40.4 vs Seton Hall: 36.3
Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
NC State: 49.2% vs Seton Hall: 42.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HALL Score 55.0 85
NCSU Score 74.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 33.6 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 15.8 / 13.9 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.0 / 6.7 2.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 42.1 42.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 79.3 / 74.1 73.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 36.3 30.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.1 / 10.2 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 9.4 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
NCSU
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
NCSU
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
HALL
NCSU
HALL
ML
59% 20-14
41% 13-19
55% 18-15
60% 18-12
ATS
71% 24-10
50% 16-16
55% 18-15
60% 18-12
TTL
71% 24-10
53% 17-15
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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