VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
10-4-7 | Road
1
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
11-8-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carl Lindbom
#30 | G@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Lindbom | None-None | 3.07 | 0.857 | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 1.00 | 0.971 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.07
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.971
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Utah
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Utah
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Push
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 29, 2026
UTA @ VGK
4 - 5
Apr 24, 2026
VGK @ UTA
2 - 4
Mar 19, 2026
UTA @ VGK
4 - 0
Nov 24, 2025
VGK @ UTA
1 - 5
Nov 20, 2025
VGK @ UTA
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+29.8%
Vegas: 31.2%
vs
Utah: 1.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.3% more
Vegas: 16.4
vs
Utah: 11.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+14.0%
Vegas: 55.9%
vs
Utah: 41.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+9.7% more
Vegas: 4.6
vs
Utah: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
1
UTA Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 16.4
16.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
41.9 / 55.9
40.7 / 59.3
Hits
17.6 / 17.1
19.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
146.0 / 3123.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.9 / 30.7
23.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.6
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
VGK
UTA
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
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