Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Revolutionaries MCN @ GW

MCNEESE

COWBOYSMCN

4-1  |  Road

92
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 5:00 PM ET
John Gray Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

5-1  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
COWBOYS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (McNeese)
CowboysMCN (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

86.4%

Revolutionaries Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MCN -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)

MCN By 1-7 points

21.6%

MCN By 8-14 points

27.4%

GW By 1-7 points

9.3%

GW By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
76
MCNEESE
65
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
68
MCNEESE
72
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Revolutionaries Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cowboys (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Revolutionaries (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 MCN @ GW 92 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +49.3% more
McNeese: 5.1 vs George Washington: 2.6
Steals (L5) +19.1% more
McNeese: 10.1 vs George Washington: 8.2
Assists (L5) +18.8% more
McNeese: 19.9 vs George Washington: 16.2
Free Throw % (L5) +6.2%
McNeese: 75.9% vs George Washington: 69.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MCN Score 76.0 92
GW Score 65.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 38.9 39.0 / 31.0
Assists 16.2 / 19.9 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.6 / 5.1 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 51.5 / 55.1 46.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 69.8 / 75.9 80.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 37.3 41.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.2 / 10.1 3.0 / 17.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 11.1 24.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN Advantage
28-6-0 (82.4%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
GW
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN Advantage
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 12.9 ATS +/-: -0.2
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
MCN
GW
MCN
ML
63% 22-13
67% 22-11
60% 21-14
88% 28-4
ATS
69% 24-11
76% 25-8
60% 21-14
88% 28-4
TTL
60% 21-14
42% 14-19
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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