HOWARD
BISONHOW
2-3 | Road
56
DUKE
BLUE DEVILSDUKE
6-0 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
BLUE DEVILS
0%
BISON
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
93.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Duke)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)
HOW By 1-7 points
3.3%
HOW By 8-14 points
0.6%
DUKE By 1-7 points
12.2%
DUKE By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Howard
38
HOWARD
Duke
55
DUKE
Simulated Score
Howard
62
HOWARD
Duke
85
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils (+43.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 93.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
HOW @ DUKE
56 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+121.5% more
Duke: 5.1
vs
Howard: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+67.6% more
Duke: 21.0
vs
Howard: 12.5
Rebounding (L5)
+26.6% more
Duke: 42.3
vs
Howard: 33.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.3%
Duke: 40.6%
vs
Howard: 32.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOW Score
38.0
56
DUKE Score
55.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 32.3
28.0 / 33.0
Assists
21.0 / 12.5
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 44.7
61.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 72.5
64.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
42.3 / 33.4
43.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.8 / 11.2
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 14.3
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
DUKE
Advantage
35-3-0
(92.1%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
DUKE
20-18-0
(52.6%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
HOW
DUKE
HOW
ML
71%
27-11
59%
20-14
73%
24-9
71%
22-9
ATS
79%
30-8
59%
20-14
73%
24-9
71%
22-9
TTL
47%
18-20
62%
21-13
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown