AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
BULLDOGS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
BRY By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.0%
CONN By 1-7 points
0.1%
CONN By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
36
BRYANT
UConn
76
UCONN
Simulated Score
Bryant
62
BRYANT
UConn
88
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
BRY @ CONN
49 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+53.5% more
UConn: 18.1
vs
Bryant: 11.8
Blocks (L5)
+42.3% more
UConn: 5.6
vs
Bryant: 3.9
Steals (L5)
+15.9% more
UConn: 6.9
vs
Bryant: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.3%
UConn: 37.1%
vs
Bryant: 23.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
36.0
49
CONN Score
76.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 23.7
20.0 / 30.0
Assists
18.1 / 11.8
17.0 / 6.0
Blocks
5.6 / 3.9
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.1 / 37.9
39.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
64.8 / 77.4
77.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 34.8
42.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.0
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 13.0
8.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
CONN
Advantage
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
BRY
CONN
BRY
ML
76%
29-9
70%
21-9
66%
23-12
80%
24-6
ATS
74%
28-10
73%
22-8
66%
23-12
80%
24-6
TTL
50%
19-19
67%
20-10
100%
35-0
100%
30-0