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DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

2-5  |  Road

41
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 1:00 PM ET
Watsco Center
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

5-1  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
HORNETS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Miami)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

1.8%

Hurricanes Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

DSU By 1-7 points

1.4%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.2%

MIA By 1-7 points

6.8%

MIA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
77
DELAWARE STATE
98
MIAMI
Simulated Score
58
DELAWARE STATE
92
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 DSU @ MIA 41 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +77.6% more
Miami: 3.5 vs Delaware State: 2.0
Assists (L5) +29.3% more
Miami: 18.3 vs Delaware State: 14.2
Steals (L5) +21.6% more
Miami: 10.3 vs Delaware State: 8.4
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
Miami: 39.3 vs Delaware State: 33.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 77.0 41
MIA Score 98.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 33.3 43.0 / 22.0
Assists 18.3 / 14.2 28.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.0 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.1 / 41.7 61.0 / 26.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 65.1 58.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 33.8 44.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.3 / 8.4 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 11.7 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
DSU
MIA
DSU
ML
63% 22-13
60% 18-12
64% 21-12
75% 18-6
ATS
63% 22-13
60% 18-12
64% 21-12
72% 18-7
TTL
63% 22-13
57% 17-13
100% 33-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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