CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
7-13-3 | Road
5
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
9-11-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 5.44 | 0.762 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
5.44
0.935 Ldr
Save %
0.762
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
CANUCKS
100%
FLAMES
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CGY @ VAN
1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026
VAN @ CGY
3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025
CGY @ VAN
5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025
CGY @ VAN
1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025
VAN @ CGY
8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.1% more
Calgary: 32.1
vs
Vancouver: 26.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.1% more
Calgary: 15.3
vs
Vancouver: 13.5
Power Play % (L5)
+16.0%
Vancouver: 34.3%
vs
Calgary: 18.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.5%
Vancouver: 54.0%
vs
Calgary: 51.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
5
VAN Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 15.3
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 51.4
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
21.0 / 21.7
17.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
34.3 / 18.3
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 32.1
31.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CGY
VAN
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
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