Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Irish @ Jayhawks ND @ KU

NOTRE DAME

FIGHTING IRISHND

4-2  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 3:30 PM ET
MGM Grand Garden Arena
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

JAYHAWKSKU

4-2  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
📊
JAYHAWKS
100%
FIGHTING IRISH --
JAYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Notre Dame)
Fighting IrishND (-3.5) 0 JayhawksKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Irish Cover

75.8%

Jayhawks Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ND -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)

ND By 1-7 points

26.2%

ND By 8-14 points

25.3%

KU By 1-7 points

15.3%

KU By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
90
NOTRE DAME
83
KANSAS
Simulated Score
65
NOTRE DAME
78
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Irish Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jayhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fighting Irish (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Jayhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 ND @ KU 61 - 71
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Notre Dame: 35.5% vs Kansas: 29.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Notre Dame: 50.1% vs Kansas: 46.8%
Blocks (L5) +329.5% more
Kansas: 5.5 vs Notre Dame: 1.3
Assists (L5) +39.3% more
Kansas: 15.4 vs Notre Dame: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ND Score 90.0 61
KU Score 83.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.6 / 35.5 30.0 / 17.0
Assists 15.4 / 11.0 16.0 / 6.0
Blocks 5.5 / 1.3 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 50.1 47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 69.5 69.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 36.4 44.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.0 2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 12.4 9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ND
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
KU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ND
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.9
KU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0% Total +/-: +5.0
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
ND
KU
ND
ML
57% 20-15
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
77% 24-7
ATS
49% 17-18
55% 17-14
68% 21-10
77% 24-7
TTL
60% 21-14
68% 21-10
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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