ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
0-7 | Road
53
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
4-2 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
SOONERS
0%
BRAVES
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
ALCN By 1-7 points
4.0%
ALCN By 8-14 points
0.8%
OU By 1-7 points
13.7%
OU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Alcorn State
51
ALCORN STATE
Oklahoma
67
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Alcorn State
52
ALCORN STATE
Oklahoma
88
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sooners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
ALCN @ OU
53 - 72
Dec 7, 2024
ALCN @ OU
78 - 94
Dec 22, 2021
ALCN @ OU
48 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+44.4% more
Oklahoma: 15.1
vs
Alcorn State: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+35.1% more
Oklahoma: 35.3
vs
Alcorn State: 26.1
Steals (L5)
+16.9% more
Oklahoma: 8.4
vs
Alcorn State: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.5%
Oklahoma: 78.5%
vs
Alcorn State: 63.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score
51.0
53
OU Score
67.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 35.4
29.0 / 44.0
Assists
15.1 / 10.5
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.1
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 44.4
33.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
78.5 / 63.0
68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 26.1
46.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.4 / 7.2
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.2 / 14.6
7.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
OU
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
ALCN
OU
ALCN
ML
78%
28-8
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
75%
18-6
ATS
72%
26-10
68%
21-10-1
59%
20-14
75%
18-6
TTL
75%
27-9
47%
15-17
100%
34-0
100%
24-0
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