Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bears EWU @ CARK

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

1-4  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 2:00 PM ET
Farris Center
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL ARKANSAS

BEARSCARK

1-4  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
EAGLES --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Eastern Washington)
EaglesEWU (-3.5) 0 BearsCARK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

93.3%

Bears Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EWU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

EWU By 1-7 points

15.3%

EWU By 8-14 points

25.3%

CARK By 1-7 points

4.8%

CARK By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
82
EASTERN WASHINGTON
67
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
70
EASTERN WASHINGTON
78
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 EWU @ CARK 65 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.7% more
Eastern Washington: 2.8 vs Central Arkansas: 2.0
Assists (L5) +24.2% more
Eastern Washington: 14.1 vs Central Arkansas: 10.7
Field Goal % (L5) +11.5%
Eastern Washington: 49.1% vs Central Arkansas: 37.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.2%
Eastern Washington: 35.0% vs Central Arkansas: 24.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 82.0 65
CARK Score 67.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.8 / 35.0 50.0 / 34.0
Assists 10.7 / 14.1 19.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 2.8 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 37.6 / 49.1 55.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 64.5 / 71.8 64.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 32.7 35.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.6 14.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 12.6 12.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
CARK Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
CARK Advantage
19-10-3 (65.5%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
CARK
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CARK
EWU
CARK
EWU
ML
67% 22-11
64% 21-12
70% 23-10
69% 22-10
ATS
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
70% 23-10
69% 22-10
TTL
50% 16-16-1
48% 16-17
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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