BROWN
BEARSBRWN
1-5 | Road
58
MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
0-5 | Home
53
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
100%
BLACK BEARS
0%
BEARS
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MAINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Maine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ME -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ME)
BRWN By 1-7 points
4.8%
BRWN By 8-14 points
1.1%
ME By 1-7 points
15.3%
ME By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Brown
51
BROWN
Maine
66
MAINE
Simulated Score
Brown
66
BROWN
Maine
71
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Black Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
BRWN @ ME
58 - 53
Nov 10, 2024
ME @ BRWN
69 - 67
Dec 3, 2023
BRWN @ ME
49 - 60
Nov 27, 2022
ME @ BRWN
63 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+13.4% more
Maine: 7.6
vs
Brown: 6.7
Blocks (L5)
+35.5% more
Brown: 6.5
vs
Maine: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+13.8% more
Brown: 14.2
vs
Maine: 12.2
Rebounding (L5)
+8.2% more
Brown: 33.7
vs
Maine: 31.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score
51.0
58
ME Score
66.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.9 / 36.2
25.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.2 / 14.2
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.2 / 6.5
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 46.2
43.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
66.1 / 65.7
55.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.0 / 33.7
28.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.7
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.3
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
Advantage
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
BRWN
ME
BRWN
ML
45%
14-17
56%
15-12
52%
16-15
67%
18-9
ATS
55%
17-14
59%
16-11
52%
16-15
67%
18-9
TTL
55%
17-14
59%
16-11
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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