Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Grizzlies LAM @ MONT

LAMAR

CARDINALSLAM

2-1  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 4:00 PM ET
Dahlberg Arena
View Odds Details →

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

4-2  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
GRIZZLIES
0%
CARDINALS --
GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MONTANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Montana)
CardinalsLAM (-3.5) 0 GrizzliesMONT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

27.4%

Grizzlies Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONT -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONT)

LAM By 1-7 points

16.9%

LAM By 8-14 points

6.8%

MONT By 1-7 points

26.8%

MONT By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
70
LAMAR
76
MONTANA
Simulated Score
68
LAMAR
73
MONTANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 LAM @ MONT 68 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.5% more
Montana: 13.6 vs Lamar: 10.7
Assists (L5) +22.1% more
Montana: 17.3 vs Lamar: 14.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.6%
Montana: 39.0% vs Lamar: 29.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Montana: 50.9% vs Lamar: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAM Score 70.0 68
MONT Score 76.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 29.5 27.0 / 50.0
Assists 17.3 / 14.2 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.5 / 6.5 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 42.7 35.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 68.2 66.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 39.6 41.0 / 47.0
Steals 4.5 / 8.5 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 10.7 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
MONT Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
MONT Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.1
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONT
LAM
MONT
LAM
ML
39% 13-20
55% 16-13
73% 24-9
59% 17-12
ATS
55% 18-15
52% 15-14
73% 24-9
60% 18-12
TTL
59% 19-13-1
72% 21-8
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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