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NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

3-3  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 4:00 PM ET
Arena-Auditorium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

4-1  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
SPARTANS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
97.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wyoming)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 CowboysWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

46.0%

Cowboys Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)

NORF By 1-7 points

24.3%

NORF By 8-14 points

13.7%

WYO By 1-7 points

26.2%

WYO By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
48
NORFOLK STATE
49
WYOMING
Simulated Score
65
NORFOLK STATE
78
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 97.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 NORF @ WYO 67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +104.2% more
Wyoming: 18.1 vs Norfolk State: 8.8
Turnovers (L5) +28.3% more
Wyoming: 13.0 vs Norfolk State: 10.1
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Wyoming: 8.0 vs Norfolk State: 6.7
Blocks (L5) +18.5% more
Wyoming: 2.8 vs Norfolk State: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 48.0 67
WYO Score 49.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.1 / 29.1 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 18.1 / 8.8 15.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.3 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 40.9 38.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 60.1 / 55.4 77.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 42.2 / 38.0 41.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.7 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 10.1 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
WYO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
NORF
WYO
NORF
ML
52% 17-16
67% 20-10
70% 23-10
71% 20-8
ATS
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
70% 23-10
72% 21-8
TTL
64% 21-12
60% 18-12
100% 33-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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