ORLANDO
MAGICORL
10-7 | Road
129
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
8-8 | Home
138
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
CELTICS
0%
MAGIC
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
ORL By 1-7 points
2.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
0.5%
BOS By 1-7 points
10.7%
BOS By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Boston
130
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Orlando
113
ORLANDO
Boston
107
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Magic (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u223.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
ORL @ BOS
108 - 113
Nov 23, 2025
ORL @ BOS
129 - 138
Nov 9, 2025
BOS @ ORL
111 - 107
Nov 7, 2025
BOS @ ORL
110 - 123
Apr 29, 2025
ORL @ BOS
89 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Boston: 46.8
vs
Orlando: 42.3
Steals (L5)
+26.5% more
Orlando: 8.7
vs
Boston: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.5%
Orlando: 85.8%
vs
Boston: 74.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Orlando: 49.9%
vs
Boston: 46.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
112.0
129
BOS Score
130.0
138
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 38.5
45.0 / 42.0
Assists
25.2 / 27.3
29.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.9
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 49.9
60.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 85.8
77.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
46.8 / 42.3
37.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.7
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 13.1
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
ORL
BOS
ORL
ML
57%
61-46
61%
65-42
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
ATS
59%
61-43-3
64%
68-38-1
53%
47-41
56%
51-40
TTL
56%
60-47
57%
61-46
100%
88-0
100%
91-0
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