LA
CLIPPERSLAC
5-11 | Road
105
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
11-6 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
0.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
1.4%
CLE By 1-7 points
0.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
125
LA
Cleveland
89
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
LA
113
LA
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
CLE @ LAC
124 - 91
Nov 23, 2025
LAC @ CLE
105 - 120
Mar 30, 2025
LAC @ CLE
122 - 127
Mar 18, 2025
CLE @ LAC
119 - 132
Apr 7, 2024
CLE @ LAC
118 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.6% more
LA: 7.3
vs
Cleveland: 6.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.9%
LA: 83.9%
vs
Cleveland: 72.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
LA: 38.7%
vs
Cleveland: 34.9%
Blocks (L5)
+54.8% more
Cleveland: 6.7
vs
LA: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
125.0
105
CLE Score
89.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 38.7
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
25.3 / 23.9
28.0 / 23.0
Blocks
6.7 / 4.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 45.8
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 83.9
65.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
46.0 / 41.8
41.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.3
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 14.1
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
LAC
CLE
LAC
ML
60%
69-46
60%
59-40
56%
55-44
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
75-37-3
66%
65-33-1
56%
55-44
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
68-47
59%
58-40-1
100%
99-0
100%
82-0
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