Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Raptors BKN @ TOR

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

3-12  |  Road

109
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 6:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

11-5  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
RAPTORS
0%
NETS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Toronto)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

0.5%

Raptors Cover

99.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

BKN By 1-7 points

0.4%

BKN By 8-14 points

0.0%

TOR By 1-7 points

2.7%

TOR By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
105
BROOKLYN
131
TORONTO
Simulated Score
108
BROOKLYN
112
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raptors (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.5 Loss
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 BKN @ TOR 101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025 TOR @ BKN 81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025 BKN @ TOR 109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025 TOR @ BKN 119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025 TOR @ BKN 120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +51.4% more
Toronto: 10.7 vs Brooklyn: 7.1
Assists (L5) +16.4% more
Toronto: 31.8 vs Brooklyn: 27.3
Field Goal % (L5) +7.7%
Toronto: 54.2% vs Brooklyn: 46.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
Toronto: 77.1% vs Brooklyn: 72.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 105.0 109
TOR Score 131.0 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 36.4 50.0 / 35.0
Assists 31.8 / 27.3 30.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.9 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 54.2 / 46.5 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 72.7 90.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 42.1 / 39.1 32.0 / 40.0
Steals 10.7 / 7.1 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 13.7 9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
BKN
TOR
BKN
ML
55% 57-47
53% 50-45
55% 48-39
59% 48-34
ATS
61% 62-40-2
52% 48-44-3
55% 48-39
59% 48-34
TTL
60% 62-42
57% 54-41
100% 87-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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