ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
0-7 | Road
84
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
4-0 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
GOLDEN LIONS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around M-OH -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
UAPB By 1-7 points
0.6%
UAPB By 8-14 points
0.1%
M-OH By 1-7 points
4.0%
M-OH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
60
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Miami (OH)
84
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
60
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Miami (OH)
78
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
UAPB @ M-OH
84 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.8% more
Miami (OH): 3.8
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+25.4% more
Miami (OH): 14.4
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
Miami (OH): 36.9
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 32.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.4%
Miami (OH): 40.1%
vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 25.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score
60.0
84
M-OH Score
84.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 25.7
48.0 / 32.0
Assists
14.4 / 11.5
25.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 38.4
56.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 72.6
88.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 32.2
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.4 / 6.8
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 15.4
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
UAPB
M-OH
UAPB
ML
45%
15-18
74%
23-8
41%
13-19
73%
19-7
ATS
61%
20-13
73%
22-8-1
41%
13-19
73%
19-7
TTL
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
100%
32-0
100%
26-0
Contextual Game News
