Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Wildcats SC @ NU

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

4-2  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 5:00 PM ET
Colonial Hall
View Odds Details →

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

5-1  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
GAMECOCKS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (South Carolina)
GamecocksSC (-3.5) 0 WildcatsNU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

72.6%

Wildcats Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

SC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SC By 8-14 points

24.3%

NU By 1-7 points

16.9%

NU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SOUTH CAROLINA
60
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA
71
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 SC @ NU 77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +11.0% more
South Carolina: 34.8 vs Northwestern: 30.9
Turnovers (L5) +9.7% more
South Carolina: 9.6 vs Northwestern: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5) +5.1%
South Carolina: 74.9% vs Northwestern: 69.8%
Blocks (L5) +44.6% more
Northwestern: 3.3 vs South Carolina: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 66.0 77
NU Score 60.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.3 / 30.6 50.0 / 29.0
Assists 17.0 / 15.6 21.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 44.7 57.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 69.8 / 74.9 86.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 30.9 / 34.8 26.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.1 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 8.6 / 9.6 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
NU Advantage
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
NU Advantage
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
SC
NU
SC
ML
47% 16-18
72% 23-9
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
ATS
50% 17-17
69% 22-10
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
TTL
53% 18-16
50% 16-16
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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