IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
2-6 | Road
85
AIR FORCE
FALCONSAF
3-4 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
FALCONS
0%
JAGUARS
--
FALCONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
AIR FORCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Air Force)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AF -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AF)
IUIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
IUIN By 8-14 points
8.0%
AF By 1-7 points
27.2%
AF By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
81
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Air Force
86
AIR FORCE
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Air Force
73
AIR FORCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Falcons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Falcons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Falcons (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Falcons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u176.5
Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u176.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
IUIN @ AF
85 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.0% more
Air Force: 3.4
vs
IU Indianapolis: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Air Force: 65.7%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 64.1%
Assists (L5)
+40.2% more
IU Indianapolis: 21.8
vs
Air Force: 13.0
Steals (L5)
+32.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 10.3
vs
Air Force: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
81.0
85
AF Score
86.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 37.1
43.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.0 / 21.8
25.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 45.8
59.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 64.1
82.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 34.9
37.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.9 / 10.3
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 13.9
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
AF
Advantage
3-29-0
(9.4%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
AF
Advantage
10-21-1
(32.3%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AF
IUIN
AF
IUIN
ML
81%
26-6
69%
22-10
62%
20-12
78%
25-7
ATS
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
62%
20-12
78%
25-7
TTL
69%
22-10
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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