DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
1-5 | Road
75
DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
3-2 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
BLUE DEMONS
0%
TITANS
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (DePaul)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
DETM By 1-7 points
3.3%
DETM By 8-14 points
0.6%
DEP By 1-7 points
12.2%
DEP By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
60
DETROIT MERCY
DePaul
77
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
70
DETROIT MERCY
DePaul
75
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Blue Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
DETM @ DEP
75 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+90.2% more
DePaul: 19.6
vs
Detroit Mercy: 10.3
Blocks (L5)
+23.2% more
DePaul: 3.1
vs
Detroit Mercy: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+22.2% more
DePaul: 8.0
vs
Detroit Mercy: 6.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
DePaul: 32.1%
vs
Detroit Mercy: 22.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
60.0
75
DEP Score
77.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 22.7
52.0 / 42.0
Assists
19.6 / 10.3
24.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.5
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 39.3
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 78.5
81.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 36.1
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.5
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 13.3
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
DEP
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
DETM
DEP
DETM
ML
59%
19-13
58%
18-13
80%
24-6
50%
15-15
ATS
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
80%
24-6
50%
15-15
TTL
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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