Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Green Wave @ Eagles TULN @ BC

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

3-2  |  Road

93
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 6:30 PM ET
TD Arena
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

3-3  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
GREEN WAVE --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Boston College)
Green WaveTULN (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Green Wave Cover

21.2%

Eagles Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

TULN By 1-7 points

13.7%

TULN By 8-14 points

4.8%

BC By 1-7 points

25.3%

BC By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
TULANE
57
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
69
TULANE
74
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 TULN @ BC 93 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +52.1% more
Boston College: 38.8 vs Tulane: 25.5
Turnovers (L5) +8.8% more
Boston College: 10.9 vs Tulane: 10.0
Steals (L5) +34.4% more
Tulane: 7.1 vs Boston College: 4.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.1%
Tulane: 34.8% vs Boston College: 20.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 49.0 93
BC Score 57.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 20.7 / 34.8 37.0 / 29.0
Assists 11.2 / 11.8 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.0 / 5.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 42.7 41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 65.8 / 77.2 78.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 25.5 37.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.7 / 7.1 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 10.0 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
TULN
BC
TULN
ML
61% 19-12
70% 23-10
61% 17-11
47% 15-17
ATS
73% 22-8-1
62% 20-12-1
61% 17-11
47% 15-17
TTL
61% 19-12
55% 18-15
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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