AKRON
ZIPSAKR
4-1 | Road
97
EVANSVILLE
PURPLE ACESEVAN
3-3 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
0%
PURPLE ACES
100%
ZIPS
--
PURPLE ACES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AKR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
AKR By 1-7 points
26.2%
AKR By 8-14 points
16.9%
EVAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
EVAN By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
76
AKRON
Evansville
75
EVANSVILLE
Simulated Score
Akron
68
AKRON
Evansville
72
EVANSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Zips
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Purple Aces
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Zips (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Purple Aces (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
AKR @ EVAN
97 - 59
Nov 24, 2021
AKR @ EVAN
69 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.3% more
Akron: 20.3
vs
Evansville: 12.5
Rebounding (L5)
+20.8% more
Akron: 40.0
vs
Evansville: 31.6
Steals (L5)
+13.8% more
Akron: 7.8
vs
Evansville: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Akron: 37.9%
vs
Evansville: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
76.0
97
EVAN Score
75.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.8 / 37.9
21.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.5 / 20.3
9.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.6
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 48.0
43.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 69.4
65.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 40.0
22.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.8
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 9.8
18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
EVAN
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
EVAN
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
EVAN
16-13-1
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EVAN
AKR
EVAN
AKR
ML
56%
18-14
71%
24-10
62%
20-12
65%
22-12
ATS
66%
21-11
76%
26-8
62%
20-12
65%
22-12
TTL
62%
20-12
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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