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OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

3-3  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 2:00 PM ET
Daskalakis Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

2-4  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
100%
📊
DRAGONS
0%
MONARCHS --
DRAGONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Drexel)
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 DragonsDREX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

21.2%

Dragons Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DREX -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)

ODU By 1-7 points

13.7%

ODU By 8-14 points

4.8%

DREX By 1-7 points

25.3%

DREX By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
56
OLD DOMINION
64
DREXEL
Simulated Score
68
OLD DOMINION
71
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dragons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dragons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dragons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Dragons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 ODU @ DREX 71 - 75
Nov 26, 2023 DREX @ ODU 61 - 68
Nov 11, 2022 ODU @ DREX 59 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +9.1% more
Drexel: 6.5 vs Old Dominion: 5.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Drexel: 35.2% vs Old Dominion: 32.2%
Assists (L5) +19.8% more
Old Dominion: 15.4 vs Drexel: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5) +17.8%
Old Dominion: 72.3% vs Drexel: 54.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 56.0 71
DREX Score 64.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 32.2 43.0 / 47.0
Assists 12.4 / 15.4 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.3 9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 43.8 45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 54.5 / 72.3 76.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 37.7 38.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.9 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 11.1 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
DREX Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
ODU
DREX
ODU
ML
58% 19-14
52% 17-16
81% 26-6
67% 22-11
ATS
70% 23-10
70% 23-10
81% 26-6
67% 22-11
TTL
48% 16-17
70% 23-10
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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