Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Purple Eagles @ Bison NIA @ HOW

NIAGARA

PURPLE EAGLESNIA

2-2  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 4:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

2-3  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
PURPLE EAGLES
0%
📊
BISON
100%
PURPLE EAGLES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NIAGARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Niagara)
Purple EaglesNIA (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Purple Eagles Cover

65.5%

Bison Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NIA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NIA)

NIA By 1-7 points

27.4%

NIA By 8-14 points

21.6%

HOW By 1-7 points

20.1%

HOW By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
75
NIAGARA
71
HOWARD
Simulated Score
69
NIAGARA
76
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Purple Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Purple Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 NIA @ HOW 70 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +57.4% more
Howard: 8.9 vs Niagara: 5.6
Rebounding (L5) +28.5% more
Howard: 34.6 vs Niagara: 26.9
Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
Howard: 45.0% vs Niagara: 38.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.2%
Howard: 73.8% vs Niagara: 68.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NIA Score 75.0 70
HOW Score 71.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 35.4 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.3 / 13.3 11.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.3 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 38.8 44.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 68.6 70.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 26.9 31.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.9 / 5.6 16.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 12.9 15.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIA
8-22-0 (26.7%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIA
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
NIA
HOW
NIA
ML
59% 20-14
55% 16-13
71% 22-9
72% 21-8
ATS
59% 20-14
69% 20-9
71% 22-9
72% 21-8
TTL
62% 21-13
55% 16-13
100% 31-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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