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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

0-6  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 2:00 PM ET
Sanford Coyote Sports Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH DAKOTA

COYOTESSDAK

4-3  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
COYOTES
0%
BULLDOGS --
COYOTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SOUTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (South Dakota)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 CoyotesSDAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

38.2%

Coyotes Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDAK -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDAK)

SCST By 1-7 points

21.6%

SCST By 8-14 points

10.7%

SDAK By 1-7 points

27.2%

SDAK By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
69
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
72
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
75
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Coyotes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Coyotes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Coyotes (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Coyotes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 SCST @ SDAK 81 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.8% more
South Dakota: 7.9 vs South Carolina State: 6.2
Blocks (L5) +12.3% more
South Dakota: 3.3 vs South Carolina State: 2.9
Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
South Dakota: 43.0% vs South Carolina State: 35.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
South Dakota: 66.9% vs South Carolina State: 61.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 69.0 81
SDAK Score 72.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 36.0 30.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.8 / 11.3 15.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.9 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 35.1 48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 61.2 64.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 33.0 42.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.2 6.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 14.4 18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
SDAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
SDAK Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
SCST
SDAK
SCST
ML
70% 21-9
61% 19-12
63% 19-11
74% 20-7
ATS
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
74% 20-7
TTL
67% 20-10
52% 16-15
100% 30-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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