AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
BEARCATS
100%
HAWKS
--
BEARCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Maryland Eastern Shore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UMES -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UMES)
UMES By 1-7 points
13.7%
UMES By 8-14 points
24.3%
BING By 1-7 points
4.0%
BING By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
99
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Binghamton
83
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
65
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Binghamton
72
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Bearcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
UMES @ BING
63 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.0% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.7
vs
Binghamton: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 17.4
vs
Binghamton: 15.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 31.8%
vs
Binghamton: 28.9%
Blocks (L5)
+54.0% more
Binghamton: 3.1
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
99.0
63
BING Score
83.0
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.9 / 31.8
23.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.5 / 12.7
8.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.1 / 2.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 41.9
33.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 65.0
77.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 33.7
34.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.7
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 17.4
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
Advantage
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
BING
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
BING
Advantage
14-13-0
(51.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4%
Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
UMES
BING
UMES
ML
67%
20-10
66%
21-11
57%
17-13
81%
21-5
ATS
73%
22-8
69%
22-10
57%
17-13
81%
21-5
TTL
70%
21-9
66%
21-11
100%
30-0
100%
26-0