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GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

0-5  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Robins Center
View Odds Details →

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

4-0  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
SPIDERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
SPIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Richmond)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 SpidersRICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

21.2%

Spiders Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICH -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)

GWEB By 1-7 points

13.7%

GWEB By 8-14 points

4.8%

RICH By 1-7 points

25.3%

RICH By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
GARDNER-WEBB
57
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
62
GARDNER-WEBB
75
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spiders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spiders (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Spiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 GWEB @ RICH 67 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +37.1% more
Richmond: 16.3 vs Gardner-Webb: 11.9
Rebounding (L5) +14.6% more
Richmond: 39.2 vs Gardner-Webb: 34.2
Free Throw % (L5) +12.4%
Richmond: 74.2% vs Gardner-Webb: 61.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.1%
Richmond: 35.9% vs Gardner-Webb: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 49.0 67
RICH Score 57.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 28.8 42.0 / 45.0
Assists 16.3 / 11.9 22.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.9 / 2.5 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 40.2 52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 61.8 72.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 34.2 46.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.8 9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 14.4 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
RICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
RICH
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
GWEB
RICH
GWEB
ML
53% 17-15
73% 22-8
56% 18-14
63% 19-11
ATS
44% 14-18
73% 22-8
56% 18-14
63% 19-11
TTL
56% 18-14
53% 16-14
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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