AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
NJIT By 1-7 points
0.5%
NJIT By 8-14 points
0.1%
NAVY By 1-7 points
3.3%
NAVY By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
65
NJIT
Navy
90
NAVY
Simulated Score
NJIT
63
NJIT
Navy
68
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
NJIT @ NAVY
70 - 86
Dec 7, 2024
NAVY @ NJIT
64 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+68.3% more
Navy: 8.4
vs
NJIT: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+42.7% more
Navy: 14.8
vs
NJIT: 10.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.6%
Navy: 79.6%
vs
NJIT: 68.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Navy: 33.6%
vs
NJIT: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
65.0
70
NAVY Score
90.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 28.3
46.0 / 32.0
Assists
14.8 / 10.4
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.6
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 38.4
51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 68.0
73.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 35.2
40.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.0
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 15.1
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
NJIT
NAVY
NJIT
ML
79%
26-7
78%
25-7
55%
18-15
62%
20-12
ATS
73%
24-9
72%
23-9
55%
18-15
62%
20-12
TTL
73%
24-9
47%
15-17
100%
33-0
100%
32-0