Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Bisons WCU @ LIP

WESTERN CAROLINA

CATAMOUNTSWCU

3-3  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 5:00 PM ET
Allen Arena
View Odds Details →

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

2-4  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
📊
BISONS
0%
CATAMOUNTS --
BISONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Lipscomb)
CatamountsWCU (-3.5) 0 BisonsLIP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

2.9%

Bisons Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)

WCU By 1-7 points

2.2%

WCU By 8-14 points

0.4%

LIP By 1-7 points

9.3%

LIP By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
55
WESTERN CAROLINA
74
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
71
WESTERN CAROLINA
77
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bisons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bisons (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Bisons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 WCU @ LIP 62 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +52.9% more
Lipscomb: 9.5 vs Western Carolina: 6.2
Blocks (L5) +38.6% more
Lipscomb: 3.5 vs Western Carolina: 2.5
Assists (L5) +34.1% more
Lipscomb: 17.1 vs Western Carolina: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5) +11.8%
Lipscomb: 85.0% vs Western Carolina: 73.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WCU Score 55.0 62
LIP Score 74.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 31.0 43.0 / 18.0
Assists 17.1 / 12.7 23.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.5 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 39.1 / 43.4 46.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 85.0 / 73.2 50.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 41.4 39.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.5 / 6.2 14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 12.5 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
LIP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
LIP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +2.5
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
WCU
LIP
WCU
ML
71% 22-9
63% 19-11
66% 19-10
76% 22-7
ATS
71% 22-9
73% 22-8
66% 19-10
77% 23-7
TTL
58% 18-13
67% 20-10
100% 29-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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