VMI
KEYDETSVMI
3-3 | Road
80
STETSON
HATTERSSTET
2-3 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
0%
HATTERS
100%
KEYDETS
--
HATTERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (VMI)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VMI -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
VMI By 1-7 points
1.4%
VMI By 8-14 points
5.8%
STET By 1-7 points
0.1%
STET By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
105
VMI
Stetson
76
STETSON
Simulated Score
VMI
70
VMI
Stetson
77
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Keydets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hatters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Keydets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Hatters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
VMI @ STET
80 - 99
Dec 7, 2019
STET @ VMI
61 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.0% more
VMI: 4.3
vs
Stetson: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
VMI: 7.3
vs
Stetson: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
105.0
80
STET Score
76.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 32.7
52.0 / 32.0
Assists
11.8 / 12.0
30.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.3
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 40.8
59.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 68.5
67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 35.5
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.3
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 13.2
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
STET
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
VMI
STET
VMI
ML
55%
18-15
53%
17-15
73%
24-9
84%
27-5
ATS
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
73%
24-9
84%
27-5
TTL
61%
20-13
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
