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LA

CLIPPERSLAC

4-11  |  Road

131
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 1:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

4-11  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
CLIPPERS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (LA)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

94.5%

Hornets Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-7 points

13.7%

LAC By 8-14 points

24.3%

CHA By 1-7 points

4.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
105
LA
89
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
105
LA
118
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clippers (+1) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u227.5 Loss
Proj Total: 194.0
D
Sim u227.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 12, 2026 CHA @ LAC 109 - 117
Nov 22, 2025 LAC @ CHA 131 - 116
Mar 16, 2025 CHA @ LAC 88 - 123
Jan 31, 2025 LAC @ CHA 112 - 104
Mar 31, 2024 LAC @ CHA 130 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +15.9% more
LA: 5.5 vs Charlotte: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +9.0% more
LA: 16.2 vs Charlotte: 14.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
LA: 36.1% vs Charlotte: 31.7%
Assists (L5) +18.8% more
Charlotte: 24.8 vs LA: 20.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 105.0 131
CHA Score 89.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 36.1 31.0 / 44.0
Assists 24.8 / 20.9 24.0 / 30.0
Blocks 4.6 / 5.5 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 43.2 48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 83.0 / 84.4 88.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 45.5 / 42.2 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.8 / 7.0 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 16.2 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
LAC
CHA
LAC
ML
61% 60-39
60% 59-40
48% 40-44
55% 45-37
ATS
60% 59-40
66% 65-33-1
48% 40-44
55% 45-37
TTL
58% 57-42
59% 58-40-1
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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