NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
9-5 | Road
121
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
9-7 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
MAGIC
100%
KNICKS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
10.7%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
ORL By 1-7 points
2.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
112
NEW YORK
Orlando
94
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
New York
106
NEW YORK
Orlando
109
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u230.5
Loss
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
NY @ ORL
132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025
ORL @ NY
100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025
NY @ ORL
121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025
ORL @ NY
124 - 107
Jan 6, 2025
ORL @ NY
103 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.4% more
New York: 6.2
vs
Orlando: 4.8
Steals (L5)
+27.4% more
Orlando: 10.6
vs
New York: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.9%
Orlando: 85.2%
vs
New York: 69.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Orlando: 38.3%
vs
New York: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
112.0
121
ORL Score
94.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 32.4
39.0 / 35.0
Assists
27.0 / 26.6
28.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.8 / 6.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 45.8
55.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
85.2 / 69.3
87.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 46.5
36.0 / 36.0
Steals
10.6 / 8.3
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.9
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
NY
ORL
NY
ML
61%
65-42
61%
114-72
56%
51-40
56%
57-45
ATS
64%
68-38-1
67%
124-62
56%
51-40
56%
57-45
TTL
57%
61-46
72%
133-53
100%
91-0
100%
102-0
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