ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
9-7 | Road
115
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
2-14 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
PELICANS
100%
HAWKS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
23.0%
ATL By 8-14 points
27.2%
NO By 1-7 points
10.7%
NO By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
New Orleans
102
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Atlanta
108
ATLANTA
New Orleans
112
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pelicans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Pelicans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
NO @ ATL
100 - 117
Nov 22, 2025
ATL @ NO
115 - 98
Dec 2, 2024
NO @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 3, 2024
ATL @ NO
126 - 111
Mar 10, 2024
NO @ ATL
116 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.1% more
Atlanta: 5.3
vs
New Orleans: 3.9
Assists (L5)
+25.6% more
Atlanta: 31.9
vs
New Orleans: 23.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.6%
Atlanta: 42.9%
vs
New Orleans: 29.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Atlanta: 17.0
vs
New Orleans: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
112.0
115
NO Score
102.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 42.9
30.0 / 37.0
Assists
23.7 / 31.9
21.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.3
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 52.1
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 74.9
83.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 38.0
48.0 / 42.0
Steals
11.8 / 9.8
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 17.0
18.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
ATL
NO
ATL
ML
62%
98-61
50%
52-52
58%
48-35
55%
48-40
ATS
68%
107-51-1
53%
55-48-1
58%
48-35
55%
48-40
TTL
75%
119-40
53%
55-48-1
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Kentucky's Pro Day Showcases Depth, Cutting Edge, and Standout P…