WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
1-14 | Road
120
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
8-7 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
BULLS
0%
WIZARDS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
WSH By 1-7 points
1.1%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.1%
CHI By 1-7 points
5.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
89
WASHINGTON
Chicago
111
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Chicago
121
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
CHI @ WSH
119 - 108
Apr 7, 2026
CHI @ WSH
129 - 98
Nov 22, 2025
WSH @ CHI
120 - 121
Apr 11, 2025
WSH @ CHI
89 - 119
Jan 10, 2025
WSH @ CHI
105 - 138
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+84.7% more
Chicago: 8.8
vs
Washington: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+22.3% more
Chicago: 29.8
vs
Washington: 24.4
Rebounding (L5)
+21.2% more
Chicago: 43.6
vs
Washington: 36.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Washington: 78.8%
vs
Chicago: 74.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
89.0
120
CHI Score
111.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 35.6
27.0 / 44.0
Assists
29.8 / 24.4
26.0 / 33.0
Blocks
8.8 / 4.8
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 46.3
42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 78.8
83.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 36.0
54.0 / 55.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.3
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 16.3
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
WSH
CHI
WSH
ML
56%
54-42
70%
112-49
57%
46-35
47%
39-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
69%
111-49-1
57%
46-35
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
56-40
74%
119-41-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
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