SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
10-5-5 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
10-6-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sergei Murashov
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 1.87 | 0.938 | -- |
| Sergei Murashov | None-None | 2.81 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.87 Ldr
GAA
2.81
0.938 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
PENGUINS
0%
KRAKEN
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
SEA By 1 goal
12.1%
SEA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
PIT @ SEA
6 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
SEA @ PIT
3 - 2
Jan 25, 2025
PIT @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 14, 2025
SEA @ PIT
4 - 2
Feb 29, 2024
PIT @ SEA
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+25.0% more
Pittsburgh: 4.7
vs
Seattle: 3.7
Power Play % (L5)
+16.5%
Seattle: 27.8%
vs
Pittsburgh: 11.3%
Hits (L5)
+10.5% more
Seattle: 14.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.0
3
PIT Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 13.9
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 48.0
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
12.7 / 14.2
16.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
11.3 / 27.8
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.4 / 24.2
32.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 3.7
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
SEA
PIT
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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NHL's Earliest Start Yields Scoring Surge and Sloppy Play