Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Hoyas WAG @ GTWN

WAGNER

SEAHAWKSWAG

0-4  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 12:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

4-0  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
HOYAS
0%
SEAHAWKS --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Georgetown)
SeahawksWAG (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

34.5%

Hoyas Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

WAG By 1-7 points

20.1%

WAG By 8-14 points

9.3%

GTWN By 1-7 points

27.4%

GTWN By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
77
WAGNER
81
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
68
WAGNER
72
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoyas Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoyas Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoyas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Hoyas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 WAG @ GTWN 75 - 92
Nov 26, 2024 WAG @ GTWN 41 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +161.9% more
Georgetown: 4.7 vs Wagner: 1.8
Assists (L5) +31.1% more
Georgetown: 13.6 vs Wagner: 10.4
Steals (L5) +21.9% more
Georgetown: 8.0 vs Wagner: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5) +18.3%
Georgetown: 75.4% vs Wagner: 57.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAG Score 77.0 75
GTWN Score 81.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.6 / 33.5 41.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.6 / 10.4 21.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.7 / 1.8 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 41.4 47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 57.2 89.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 35.8 38.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.5 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 7.7 / 13.7 9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
GTWN Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +4.4
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
WAG
GTWN
WAG
ML
67% 22-11
63% 19-11
73% 22-8
57% 17-13
ATS
58% 19-14
60% 18-12
73% 22-8
57% 17-13
TTL
58% 19-14
53% 16-14
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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