Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / River Hawks @ Peacocks UML @ SPU

UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

1-6  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 2:00 PM ET
Yanitelli Center
View Odds Details →

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

2-3  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
0%
📊
PEACOCKS
100%
RIVER HAWKS --
PEACOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
River HawksUML (-3.5) 0 PeacocksSPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

River Hawks Cover

42.1%

Peacocks Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)

UML By 1-7 points

26.8%

UML By 8-14 points

18.6%

SPU By 1-7 points

23.0%

SPU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
UMASS LOWELL
71
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
72
UMASS LOWELL
68
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI River Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim River Hawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Peacocks (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim River Hawks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 UML @ SPU 66 - 68
Nov 8, 2024 SPU @ UML 74 - 81
Nov 20, 2023 UML @ SPU 69 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.3% more
UMass Lowell: 14.1 vs Saint Peter's: 11.1
Assists (L5) +13.0% more
UMass Lowell: 13.9 vs Saint Peter's: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
UMass Lowell: 45.3% vs Saint Peter's: 37.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
UMass Lowell: 34.2% vs Saint Peter's: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UML Score 73.0 66
SPU Score 71.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 34.2 32.0 / 17.0
Assists 12.1 / 13.9 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.8 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 37.9 / 45.3 36.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 87.7 / 75.9 75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 29.6 31.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.9 / 4.4 21.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 14.1 12.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SPU
UML
SPU
UML
ML
64% 18-10
70% 23-10
71% 20-8
58% 19-14
ATS
71% 20-8
70% 23-10
71% 20-8
58% 19-14
TTL
61% 17-11
58% 19-14
100% 28-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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