Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonels @ Cowboys NICH @ OKST

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

0-5  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 2:00 PM ET
Gallagher-Iba Arena
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

6-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
COLONELS --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Oklahoma State)
ColonelsNICH (-3.5) 0 CowboysOKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

0.1%

Cowboys Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)

NICH By 1-7 points

0.1%

NICH By 8-14 points

0.0%

OKST By 1-7 points

0.6%

OKST By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
46
NICHOLLS
78
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
62
NICHOLLS
80
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (-24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 NICH @ OKST 81 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +56.4% more
Oklahoma State: 17.2 vs Nicholls: 11.0
Rebounding (L5) +30.6% more
Oklahoma State: 42.4 vs Nicholls: 32.5
Turnovers (L5) +18.2% more
Oklahoma State: 16.1 vs Nicholls: 13.6
Field Goal % (L5) +12.3%
Oklahoma State: 51.0% vs Nicholls: 38.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NICH Score 46.0 81
OKST Score 78.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.6 / 30.6 40.0 / 27.0
Assists 17.2 / 11.0 18.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 38.6 53.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 69.8 / 69.6 93.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 42.4 / 32.5 35.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.4 / 10.1 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 13.6 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
NICH
OKST
NICH
ML
60% 21-14
53% 17-15
66% 21-11
68% 19-9
ATS
57% 20-15
47% 15-17
66% 21-11
68% 19-9
TTL
57% 20-15
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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