MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
DELTA DEVILSMVSU
1-5 | Road
70
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
2-3 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
ROADRUNNERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Cal State Bakersfield)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUB -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUB)
MVSU By 1-7 points
4.8%
MVSU By 8-14 points
1.1%
CSUB By 1-7 points
15.3%
CSUB By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Mississippi Valley State
70
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Cal State Bakersfield
85
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
Mississippi Valley State
55
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Cal State Bakersfield
78
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
MVSU @ CSUB
70 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+140.4% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 6.5
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+17.9% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 34.7
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 29.4
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 12.1
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 10.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Cal State Bakersfield: 32.2%
vs
Mississippi Valley State: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score
70.0
70
CSUB Score
85.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 28.3
28.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.1 / 10.4
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
6.5 / 2.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 44.1
42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 85.5
69.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 29.4
45.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.4 / 7.6
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 14.0
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0
(9.1%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
CSUB
Advantage
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -18.8
ATS +/-: +0.4
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.0
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
MVSU
CSUB
MVSU
ML
55%
17-14
91%
30-3
71%
22-9
75%
18-6
ATS
61%
19-12
82%
27-6
71%
22-9
75%
18-6
TTL
58%
18-13
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
24-0