NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
5-0 | Road
70
UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
3-3 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
ANTEATERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
ANTEATERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
UNI By 1-7 points
2.2%
UNI By 8-14 points
0.4%
UCI By 1-7 points
9.3%
UCI By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Northern Iowa
62
NORTHERN IOWA
UC Irvine
81
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
Northern Iowa
68
NORTHERN IOWA
UC Irvine
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 22, 2025
UNI @ UCI
70 - 69
Nov 10, 2024
UCI @ UNI
80 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+37.1% more
UC Irvine: 42.5
vs
Northern Iowa: 31.0
Assists (L5)
+37.1% more
UC Irvine: 19.8
vs
Northern Iowa: 14.4
Blocks (L5)
+36.4% more
UC Irvine: 7.1
vs
Northern Iowa: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Northern Iowa: 34.6%
vs
UC Irvine: 30.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNI Score
62.0
70
UCI Score
81.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.0 / 34.6
27.0 / 34.0
Assists
19.8 / 14.4
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
7.1 / 5.2
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 49.5
42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 69.5
62.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
42.5 / 31.0
47.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.4
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
UCI
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
UCI
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
UNI
UCI
UNI
ML
57%
20-15
51%
18-17
53%
18-16
56%
19-15
ATS
63%
22-13
49%
17-18
53%
18-16
56%
19-15
TTL
57%
20-15
69%
24-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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