Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dons @ Golden Gophers SF @ MINN

SAN FRANCISCO

DONSSF

5-1  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 5:30 PM ET
Sanford Pentagon
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

4-2  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
DONS
0%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
DONS --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (San Francisco)
DonsSF (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dons Cover

91.9%

Golden Gophers Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SF -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-7 points

16.9%

SF By 8-14 points

26.2%

MINN By 1-7 points

5.8%

MINN By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
80
SAN FRANCISCO
66
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
73
SAN FRANCISCO
77
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dons (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 SF @ MINN 77 - 65
Nov 26, 2023 MINN @ SF 58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.7% more
San Francisco: 3.8 vs Minnesota: 2.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.9%
San Francisco: 40.6% vs Minnesota: 26.7%
Turnovers (L5) +13.0% more
San Francisco: 12.4 vs Minnesota: 10.8
Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
San Francisco: 48.4% vs Minnesota: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 80.0 77
MINN Score 66.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.7 / 40.6 43.0 / 50.0
Assists 16.8 / 16.7 9.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.8 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 48.4 48.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 71.9 50.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 39.4 27.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.0 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 12.4 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -2.4
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.1
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
SF
MINN
SF
ML
48% 16-17
39% 13-20
71% 22-9
64% 21-12
ATS
55% 18-15
42% 14-19
71% 22-9
64% 21-12
TTL
52% 17-16
73% 24-9
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 10 hours ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 9 hours ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 16 hours ago
Kentucky Fans Weigh In on Senate Bill That Could Transform Colle…
wkyt 5 days, 4 hours ago
Jess Sims Conquers Hay Bale Toss on College GameDay in Iowa
awfulannouncing 5 days, 10 hours ago