Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Shockers MILW @ WICH

MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

2-4  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena
View Odds Details →

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

4-1  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
SHOCKERS
100%
PANTHERS --
SHOCKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 ShockersWICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

27.4%

Shockers Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WICH +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

MILW By 1-7 points

26.8%

MILW By 8-14 points

24.3%

WICH By 1-7 points

16.9%

WICH By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
73
MILWAUKEE
67
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
68
MILWAUKEE
73
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Shockers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Shockers (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Shockers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 MILW @ WICH 58 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.9% more
Milwaukee: 12.0 vs Wichita State: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Milwaukee: 46.3% vs Wichita State: 44.0%
Blocks (L5) +126.4% more
Wichita State: 4.1 vs Milwaukee: 1.8
Rebounding (L5) +25.5% more
Wichita State: 39.7 vs Milwaukee: 31.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 73.0 58
WICH Score 67.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 31.1 35.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.3 / 11.8 10.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.1 / 1.8 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 46.3 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 63.3 68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 39.7 / 31.6 45.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.9 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 12.0 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
MILW
WICH
MILW
ML
61% 22-14
50% 16-16
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
ATS
64% 23-13
47% 15-17
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
TTL
69% 25-11
59% 19-13
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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