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CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

2-3  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 2:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

3-3  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
CHIPPEWAS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
MARQUETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Marquette)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

0.1%

Golden Eagles Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MARQ -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MARQ)

CMU By 1-7 points

0.1%

CMU By 8-14 points

0.0%

MARQ By 1-7 points

0.6%

MARQ By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
105
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
60
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
85
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 CMU @ MARQ 71 - 85
Nov 11, 2024 CMU @ MARQ 62 - 70
Nov 10, 2022 CMU @ MARQ 73 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +191.5% more
Marquette: 12.7 vs Central Michigan: 4.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.4%
Marquette: 71.9% vs Central Michigan: 68.5%
Blocks (L5) +54.3% more
Central Michigan: 4.8 vs Marquette: 2.2
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Central Michigan: 44.4% vs Marquette: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 73.0 71
MARQ Score 105.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 30.9 33.0 / 28.0
Assists 15.1 / 14.4 21.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.2 / 4.8 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 44.4 53.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 68.5 63.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 37.5 36.0 / 36.0
Steals 12.7 / 4.4 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 14.3 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
MARQ Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
CMU
MARQ
CMU
ML
59% 19-13
57% 17-13
62% 20-12
70% 21-9
ATS
53% 17-15
67% 20-10
62% 20-12
70% 21-9
TTL
50% 16-16
67% 20-10
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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