OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
10-6-4 | Road
3
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
10-8-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.01 | 0.895 | -- |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 3.13 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
3.13
0.895 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
SHARKS
0%
SENATORS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
SJ @ OTT
4 - 7
Nov 22, 2025
OTT @ SJ
3 - 2
Mar 1, 2025
SJ @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 27, 2024
OTT @ SJ
4 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
OTT @ SJ
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+35.7% more
San Jose: 18.5
vs
Ottawa: 13.6
Hits (L5)
+11.4% more
Ottawa: 24.7
vs
San Jose: 21.9
Power Play % (L5)
+9.3%
Ottawa: 19.4%
vs
San Jose: 10.1%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.7%
Ottawa: 55.3%
vs
San Jose: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
3
SJ Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 13.6
14.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 55.3
38.9 / 61.1
Hits
21.9 / 24.7
23.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
10.1 / 19.4
20.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
22.8 / 22.7
19.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.0
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
OTT
SJ
OTT
ML
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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