VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
10-4-6 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
13-7-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.81 | 0.906 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.81
--
Save %
0.906
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
DUCKS
0%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
VGK By 1 goal
12.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
9.3%
ANA By 1 goal
19.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
ANA @ VGK
4 - 3
May 14, 2026
VGK @ ANA
5 - 1
May 10, 2026
VGK @ ANA
3 - 4
May 8, 2026
VGK @ ANA
6 - 2
May 6, 2026
ANA @ VGK
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.4% more
Anaheim: 16.8
vs
Vegas: 14.5
Hits (L5)
+14.1% more
Anaheim: 20.7
vs
Vegas: 18.1
Takeaways (L5)
+13.1% more
Anaheim: 5.5
vs
Vegas: 4.8
Power Play % (L5)
+24.5%
Vegas: 34.4%
vs
Anaheim: 9.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
3
ANA Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 14.5
14.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
45.5 / 50.8
33.9 / 66.1
Hits
20.7 / 18.1
19.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
9.8 / 34.4
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 30.0
33.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.8
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
VGK
ANA
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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