Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaguars @ Hornets IUIN @ ALST

IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

2-5  |  Road

80
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Clune Arena
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA STATE

HORNETSALST

3-3  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
JAGUARS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
JaguarsIUIN (-3.5) 0 HornetsALST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

69.1%

Hornets Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IUIN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)

IUIN By 1-7 points

27.2%

IUIN By 8-14 points

23.0%

ALST By 1-7 points

18.6%

ALST By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
89
IU INDIANAPOLIS
84
ALABAMA STATE
Simulated Score
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
71
ALABAMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jaguars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jaguars (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u182.5 Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim u182.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 IUIN @ ALST 80 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.7 vs Alabama State: 13.2
Blocks (L5) +14.6% more
IU Indianapolis: 3.4 vs Alabama State: 2.9
Steals (L5) +14.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 11.4 vs Alabama State: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.1%
IU Indianapolis: 71.1% vs Alabama State: 64.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score 89.0 80
ALST Score 84.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 35.2 41.0 / 41.0
Assists 13.2 / 19.7 23.0 / 26.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 47.3 58.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 64.0 / 71.1 83.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 37.3 39.0 / 30.0
Steals 9.8 / 11.4 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 11.9 15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
ALST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
ALST Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -4.1 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
ALST
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALST
IUIN
ALST
IUIN
ML
65% 20-11
69% 22-10
76% 19-6
78% 25-7
ATS
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
76% 19-6
78% 25-7
TTL
52% 16-15
50% 16-16
100% 25-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nuggets Eye Ryan Nembhard as Potential Two-Way Steal if Hornets …
yahoo 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Houston Cougars Set to Host Southern Jaguars in Week 2 Clash at …
si 3 weeks, 5 days ago
Dillon Brooks Takes a Jab at LaMelo Ball's Unconventional Path t…
sportingnews 2 months ago
Duke basketball's first 2027 commit has a familiar last name
sportingnews 3 months, 1 week ago
Kon Knueppel's 6-foot-10 Brother Kager Knueppel Commits to Duke,…
newsweek 3 months, 1 week ago