UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
2-3 | Road
63
SIENA
SAINTSSIE
2-2 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
SAINTS
0%
GREAT DANES
--
SAINTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Siena)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)
UALB By 1-7 points
21.6%
UALB By 8-14 points
10.7%
SIE By 1-7 points
27.2%
SIE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
82
UALBANY
Siena
85
SIENA
Simulated Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
Siena
72
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Saints
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Saints
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Saints (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Saints (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
UALB @ SIE
63 - 73
Nov 16, 2024
SIE @ UALB
60 - 70
Nov 26, 2023
UALB @ SIE
86 - 51
Nov 12, 2022
UALB @ SIE
62 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.4%
Siena: 77.4%
vs
UAlbany: 66.0%
Assists (L5)
+40.8% more
UAlbany: 20.6
vs
Siena: 12.2
Steals (L5)
+31.9% more
UAlbany: 10.2
vs
Siena: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+20.7% more
UAlbany: 13.9
vs
Siena: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
82.0
63
SIE Score
85.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 30.5
33.0 / 45.0
Assists
12.2 / 20.6
15.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 50.8
51.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 66.0
90.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 40.1
30.0 / 21.0
Steals
6.9 / 10.2
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 13.9
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
UALB
SIE
UALB
ML
66%
23-12
55%
17-14
48%
16-17
71%
22-9
ATS
66%
23-12
77%
24-7
48%
16-17
72%
23-9
TTL
54%
19-16
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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